The average global temperature for 2009 is expected to be more than 0.4 degrees celsius above the long-term average,
making it the warmest year since 2005. The Met Office also says there is a growing probability of record temperatures
after next year.
The record year was 1998, says the Met Office, and this one, we are led to believe, will not be far behind, even if
it will not beat the hottest year. Thus, says Professor Phil Jones, director of the climate research unit at the
University of East Anglia, "global warming had not gone away despite the fact that 2009, like the year just gone,
would not break records."
Taking a quick reality break, courtesy of Steven Goddard over at
Watts up with that?, we are reminded that the Met
Office in April last year predicted that the 2008 summer would be "warmer than average" with "rainfall near or
above average."
By 29 August, however, someone had obviously been looking out of the window, allowing the Met Office unashamedly to
report that the summer of 2008 had been: "one of the wettest on record across the UK." And here they go again,
"predicting" that 2009 will give us another warmer than average summer.
Meanwhile, as we shiver in the unaccustomed cold, The Daily Telegraph is telling us: "New Year's Eve set to be colder than in Iceland." Even then, the memory-free journos - Duncan Gardham and Jon Swaine – have imbibed the fantasia and are solemnly repeating the Met Office mantra.
Funny enough, all Met Office forecasts carry a health warning. We are told that, "Our long-range forecasts are proving useful to a range of people, such as emergency planners and the water industry, in order to help them plan ahead."
They are not, we are cautioned, "forecasts which can be used to plan a summer holiday or inform an outdoor event."
But, it seems, they are good enough to predict global warming well into the next Century.
And we are supposed to take this seriously?
Full article here...
eureferendum.blogspot.com/2008